0xf0717f3df14caf365dec112652ff82f783e22730
0xf0717f3df14caf365dec112652ff82f783e22730
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$18.46
Total PnL
$-679.02
Realised
$-12.70
Win rate
0%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- UNDER
Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 0.5
284 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$18.46
$-1.42
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
74 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- BELGIUM
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
68 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UNDER
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
60 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-2.5)
53 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.92
- GNK DINAMO ZAGREB
Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)
52 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClub Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 0.5$20.80Aug 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)$21.33Aug 11, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$181.82Jul 20, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.01Jul 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$13.85Jul 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$20.59Jul 19, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$20.89Jul 19, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$20.79Jul 19, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.99Jul 18, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.70Jul 16, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$39.22Jul 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$25.82Jul 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$20.49Jul 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$20.40Jul 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$20.40Jul 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$20.69Jul 13, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$43.21Jul 12, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$26.58Jul 12, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$20.70Jul 12, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$35.33Jul 12, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
70 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $15.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.