Scratchy-Reclamation
0xf0727486b0a14ef1fa6711f3e1e057e8f0674676
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
68 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
47 shares @ 78.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-36.61
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
10 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$82.33Mar 16, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$59.64Mar 16, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$29.55Mar 16, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.10Mar 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.10Mar 5, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$59.14Jan 22, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.50Jan 22, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Jan 22, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.00Jan 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.82Jan 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$48.82Jan 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Jan 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.00Jan 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jan 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.00Jan 22, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.98Jan 22, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$54.08Jan 22, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$56.94Jan 22, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$36.61Jan 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Jan 12, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $20.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 03:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.