Noteworthy-Impudence
0xf07779666e3d3e6a8be76603fd71af984974b207
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.16
Total PnL
$-265.44
Realised
$32.08
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?
272 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.14
$-23.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 21?
38 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.02
$-6.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 23?
5104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-44.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 21?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on May 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 19?
336 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.89Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$1.54Jul 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$1.26Jul 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$6.10Jul 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$5.27Jul 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$4.04Jul 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$1.30Jul 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 21?$6.39Jul 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$4.63Jul 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$7.67Jul 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$4.23Jul 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$6.95Jul 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 22?$7.18Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$22.40Jul 21, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$3.36Jul 21, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 22?$2.72Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 22?$2.09Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$3.36Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 22?$0.21Jul 21, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.