Vapid-Assumption
0xf08b454963c30e0ae3f5b2e6d4454cf8e41e3ae3
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.74
Total PnL
$-76.67
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
257 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.92
$1.11
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Miro Heiskanen win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
798 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jake Sanderson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
473 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
288 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
284 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Moritz Seider win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Quinn Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
129 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
56 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jared Bednar win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?
39 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$20.28Jun 12, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$0.00Jun 12, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$10.12Jun 12, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$30.23Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$0.26Jun 11, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$0.40Jun 11, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$26.11Jun 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$0.80Jun 11, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $19.58May 4, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.14May 1, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Vejmelka win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 30, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings $0.54Apr 25, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Tocchet win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$3.53Apr 23, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00Apr 21, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rasmus Dahlin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$1.00Apr 20, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $2.00Apr 20, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights $5.00Apr 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings $5.00Apr 18, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $5.00Apr 18, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$21.39Apr 18, 01:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.