Adored-Toenail
0xf09f1130e6d7dc3feadea5083af80ded973cc267
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.19
Total PnL
$-836.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$2.19
$1.20
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2376 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-522.90
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
556 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
62 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5AM ET
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
14 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.35Mar 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$3.40Mar 3, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$3.46Mar 3, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$4.48Mar 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $58.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".