0xf0a1be32b4745d5215bbc04c82ec5d1457e4e6d5
0xf0a1be32b4745d5215bbc04c82ec5d1457e4e6d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.4K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
2%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- HOUSTON COUGARS
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars
920 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-523.31
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
877 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-494.05
- KENTUCKY WILDCATS
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)
751 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-405.01
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
465 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-231.81
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
460 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- KANSAS JAYHAWKS
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks
433 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-166.45
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
413 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
413 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
408 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- OVER
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
408 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-207.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$3.65Jun 19, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$3.75Jun 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$2.53Jun 16, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$56.52Jun 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$10.33Jun 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$50.15Jun 15, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$5.81Jun 13, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$6.05Jun 13, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$2.46Jun 13, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$96.50Jun 12, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$2.45Jun 3, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5$210.96May 27, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox$10.75May 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox$55.74May 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox$97.56May 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox$34.72May 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$200.91May 27, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles$8.93May 27, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles$50.75May 27, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles$140.05May 27, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
59 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $71.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.