Discrete-Following
0xf0a57fe50d4e693636b7dccc913352b704cf03d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$16.96
Total PnL
$-64.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.38
$2.38
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
76 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.59
$-4.51
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?
13500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
253 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
108 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?
14 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 7, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$13.00Mar 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$7.00Mar 2, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$15.18Feb 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.00Feb 25, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.45Feb 25, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$4.00Feb 25, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 25, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica advance to the round of 16?$0.11Feb 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?$0.03Feb 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?$3.00Feb 25, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $7.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.