0xf0aaa9c44b5e0a9c5577a7550a354e2d336af7e3
0xf0aaa9c44b5e0a9c5577a7550a354e2d336af7e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-288.65
Realised
$-6.42
Win rate
16%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 14?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 14?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?
1799 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 15?
1149 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 15?
1116 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 17?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 15?
1086 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$3.04Jul 29, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$3.05Jul 29, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$3.04Jul 29, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$3.06Jul 29, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$3.04Jul 29, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$3.53Jul 29, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$3.57Jul 29, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$3.03Jul 29, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$3.06Jul 29, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$3.03Jul 29, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$3.03Jul 29, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$3.49Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$3.75Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$4.23Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$3.04Jul 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$3.03Jul 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$3.06Jul 29, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$3.04Jul 29, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.07Jul 29, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$3.03Jul 29, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
16% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 05:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.