Spherical-Oldie
0xf0aade83cbe8395024c21f96c77e769c6c248667
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$16.32
Total PnL
$-4.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.13
$1.13
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.94
$1.94
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 85.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?
1 shares @ 76.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.19
$0.19
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?$1.00Feb 17, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$0.00Jan 28, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$0.00Jan 28, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$0.00Jan 28, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?$1.00Jan 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $1.00Jan 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?$1.00Jan 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 28, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.03Jan 28, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$1.18Jan 28, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1.43Jan 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 5, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.00Jan 5, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1.00Jan 5, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 5, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in January?$1.00Jan 5, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.