Grimy-Molasses
0xf0acc2888315249139c1950918d471ad153ce0e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
92
Open notional
$2.98
Total PnL
$-403.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 6?
7 shares @ 29.6¢·now 24.3¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 6?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.33
$-0.67
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10AM ET
893 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?
518 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?
177 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10AM ET
171 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on July 3?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
90 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 6?$2.07Jul 6, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 6?$2.09Jul 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?$7.21Jul 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 5?$5.11Jul 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 5?$2.06Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?$2.07Jul 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 5?$2.08Jul 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 5?$2.09Jul 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?$5.00Jul 4, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?$2.06Jul 4, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 4?$2.07Jul 4, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 4?$2.09Jul 4, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?$2.09Jul 4, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 4?$2.10Jul 4, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?$11.44Jul 4, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 4?$2.10Jul 4, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 4?$2.08Jul 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?$2.08Jul 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 4?$2.08Jul 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 4?$2.10Jul 4, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.