0xf0b29b5cf68c19ffaaa0c961326d5409b0a7b501
0xf0b29b5cf68c19ffaaa0c961326d5409b0a7b501
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
8202 shares @ 63.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$4.9K
$-283.86
- YES
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
3636 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
3500 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
3497 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
3096 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
2703 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
2583 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
2360 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
2207 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-505.00
- YES
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
2139 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$5.47Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$5.3KJul 19, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$2.3KJul 19, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the World Cup?$3.1KJul 19, 22:09 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.66Jul 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$633.29Jul 12, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$632.20Jul 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$30.97Jul 12, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the World Cup?$739.36Jul 12, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$678.83Jul 12, 05:59 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$7.65Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$9.80Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$1.5KJul 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$2.1KJul 7, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$1.0KJul 7, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$526.75Jul 7, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.0KJul 7, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$2.0KJul 7, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$108.73Jul 7, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$521.73Jul 7, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.