Threadbare-Bestseller
0xf0b78daabb0988b5abed9c798d24761a5149299f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$12.48
Total PnL
$-27.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$7.35
$2.35
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$5.12
$0.12
- YES
Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$6.02Apr 10, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$10.14Apr 10, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by March 31?$10.15Apr 10, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEM500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$0.00Apr 10, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEM500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$23.53Apr 10, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEM300+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$0.00Mar 18, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$8.30Mar 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$3.50Mar 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$3.72Mar 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5.00Mar 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5.51Mar 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$1.50Mar 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$3.00Mar 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?$5.00Mar 10, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by June 30?$4.73Mar 10, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by June 30?$5.00Mar 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by March 31?$10.00Mar 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY300+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$17.50Mar 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$20.00Mar 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?$5.00Mar 10, 19:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 00:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".