Wobbly-Leadership
0xf0c18902a709fa5b023e1a3336e9e674cbe9bb30
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-400.13
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
2203 shares @ 78.4¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.1K
$384.63
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
676 shares @ 69.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$209.41
$-256.70
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
144 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$76.94
$-15.10
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
153 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.08
$-89.92
- NO
Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?
276 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?
196 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
20 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$93.03Jun 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$91.11Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$184.06Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$95.25Jun 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$219.11Jun 7, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$247.00Jun 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.7KJun 1, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?$1.7KJun 1, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?$1.5KMay 15, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$153.76May 15, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$154.67May 15, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$581.51May 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$502.80May 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.41May 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.40May 13, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 4, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?$1.3KMay 4, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?$1.1KApr 7, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?$394.22Apr 7, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "World Cup" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$126.58Apr 7, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $257.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.