Past-Vacation
0xf0c86b7fde3961447c15084b8fa3bd748a33ae3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-150.11
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?
550 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the State of the Union be 150 minutes or longer?
265 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 100-124 times?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
165 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-23.03
- YES
Will Tim Walz say "Couch" during the debate?
107 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?
84 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.08
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?
70 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 125-149 times?
63 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the State of the Union be 180 minutes or longer?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?$1.08Feb 25, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?$0.87Feb 25, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Eli Lilly" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.29Feb 25, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?$4.00Feb 25, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the State of the Union be 150 minutes or longer?$1.00Feb 25, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 25, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?$1.00Feb 25, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?$3.00Feb 25, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.50Feb 25, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the State of the Union be 150 minutes or longer?$1.00Feb 25, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the State of the Union be 180 minutes or longer?$1.00Feb 25, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Eli Lilly" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?$10.20Feb 25, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$12.50Feb 25, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$23.03Oct 7, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 100 times?$0.00Oct 7, 21:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".