0xf0d0ff84c143b563e210ef9a15b664809e4220ad
0xf0d0ff84c143b563e210ef9a15b664809e4220ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$281.15
Total PnL
$-127.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
578 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.27
$-2.89
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6688 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.66
$-3.34
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
242 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$30.22
$-18.13
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?
161 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.29
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
150 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
- YES
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
120 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- YES
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
85 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-38.97
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
69 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
20 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?$155.00Jun 26, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$49.99Jun 26, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$47.46Jun 26, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$4.08Jun 26, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$20.00Jun 25, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$167.10Jun 25, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$5.40Jun 25, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$130.01Jun 25, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$200.01Jun 25, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$4.48Jun 25, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$9.99Jun 25, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$4.99Jun 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$4.99Jun 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$49.99Jun 25, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$184.23Jun 25, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$99.99Jun 25, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$312.39Jun 25, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $38.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.