Unequaled-Time
0xf0d3e1d69667592fd183a6020735127a964a634f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-938.38
Realised
$52.35
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- PORTUGAL
Euro Basket: Portugal vs Germany
1749 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-13.39
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
800 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
800 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-216.00
- YES
August jobs report prints negative?
250 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-16.96
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?
250 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-71.50
- NO
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?
200 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-49.10
- YES
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?
200 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-54.50
- NO
1,415+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 5?
197 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-21.70
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?
150 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
- NO
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $6m?
150 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$216.00Mar 6, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$96.00Mar 6, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$6.20Jan 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.70Jan 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.06Jan 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.02Jan 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.02Jan 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.02Jan 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.02Jan 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.02Jan 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.02Jan 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$35.00Sep 22, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?$100.00Sep 18, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?$25.00Sep 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?$13.00Sep 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$13.10Sep 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?$15.00Sep 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?$16.50Sep 11, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?$3.70Sep 11, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?$3.70Sep 11, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $17.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.