Stable-Asset
0xf0d72755ecb6dc8c82b89bf7fa3a3e8f26969207
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$144.68
Total PnL
$-175.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
109 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$108.78
$5.08
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
23 shares @ 71.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$23.31
$6.67
- NO
Will Drake release an album by August 15?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$7.49
$0.45
- NO
Will Shilo Sanders play in week 1?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
1897 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-80.90
- YES
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?
145 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$2.53Aug 21, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$0.00Aug 13, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$2.53Aug 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release an album by August 15?$7.04Jul 31, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $0.00Jul 31, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $7.04Jul 31, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?$0.00Jul 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$6.52Jul 11, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?$6.52Jul 11, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$54.38Jul 9, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?$1.00Jul 8, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?$15.00Jul 8, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 7, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$0.00Jul 6, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$0.00Jul 6, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$0.00Jul 6, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$10.38Jul 6, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$10.00Jul 1, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$16.64Jul 1, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$15.00Jul 1, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $20.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.