Bronze-Surgery
0xf0e0c7087a37e4691db7785a6c2a32613548aaee
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
4265 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Kamala get more votes than Biden?
2885 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?
295 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "French fries" during North Carolina rally on October 21?
116 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2024$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
103 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-38.39
- NO
Will Trump say "Missile defense shield" during North Carolina rally on October 21?
87 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2024$0.00
$-19.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?$200.00Dec 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala get more votes than Biden?$1.9KNov 5, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.0KNov 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$99.99Nov 5, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Missile defense shield" during North Carolina rally on October 21?$19.13Oct 21, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "French fries" during North Carolina rally on October 21?$80.00Oct 21, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$140.00Oct 21, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?$0.00Oct 20, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Israel" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?$140.18Oct 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$38.39Oct 19, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$20.00Oct 19, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?$20.00Oct 19, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?$100.00Oct 19, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$800.00Oct 19, 05:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $453.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 05:48 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.