Calculating-Yam
0xf0e82336b981bca37cae04002a3e6398236f904c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-176.04
Win rate
0%
87 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
1461 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-490.99
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
1314 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-231.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5
1250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
1108 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5?
1098 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 DR Congo?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
991 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Austria?
980 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 13?$1.04Aug 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$10.41Aug 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$10.38Aug 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$10.24Aug 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$11.64Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$20.02Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$2.05Aug 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$81.68Aug 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$59.05Aug 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?$143.59Aug 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?$19.94Aug 12, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?$30.86Aug 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?$411.04Aug 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSquid FDV above $100M one day after launch$122.00Aug 5, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSquid FDV above $100M one day after launch$1.02Aug 5, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSquid FDV above $100M one day after launch$5.09Aug 5, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSquid FDV above $100M one day after launch$81.68Aug 5, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.24Jul 31, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?$146.48Jul 31, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?$5.10Jul 31, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 87 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
87 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $125.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 87 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.