Sweltering-Basket
0xf0e832364f1d63774048526ba417019db10e6e00
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$300.45
Total PnL
$-81.26
Realised
$4.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
308 shares @ 92.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$300.45
$14.64
- FRANCES TIAFOE
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane
128 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Congress" this week?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Epstein" this week?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Pentagon" this week?
5 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "UFO" or "Alien" this week?
5 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Prediction" this week?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "MAGA" this week?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Fed" this week?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenzie AND Vancouver: Mark Lajal vs Evan Zhu$11.00Jul 29, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela AND Vancouver: Moyuka Uchijima vs Hayu Kinoshita$11.00Jul 29, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild AND San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Francesco Forti$11.00Jul 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBonn: Jan Choinski vs Alex Barrena AND San Marino: Juan Carlos Prado vs Hugo Dellien$11.00Jul 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williams$10.43Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLVancouver: Madison Brengle vs Alexandra Vagramov$87.47Jul 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLVancouver: En-Shuo Liang vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew$32.87Jul 28, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane$64.55Jul 27, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu AND Vancouver: Greet Minnen vs Maddison Inglis$10.00Jul 27, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning AND Vancouver: Emerson Jones vs Carol Zhao$10.00Jul 27, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: En-Shuo Liang vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew$34.61Jul 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane$32.65Jul 27, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs$55.00Jul 27, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs$44.44Jul 27, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Madison Brengle vs Alexandra Vagramov$89.49Jul 27, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Volda E-Sport (BO3) - NLC Regular Season AND LoL: Verdant vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO3) - NLC Regular Season$10.00Jul 27, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSamsun: Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda AND The Memphis Classic: Anastasia Zakharova vs Linda Fruhvirtova AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs$10.00Jul 27, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$65.00Jul 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williams$10.00Jul 26, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$43.63Jul 26, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $47.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 04:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.