Tense-Workhorse
0xf0ebf946d745f0517c4e953dcf5966c83cd5f25f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
3856 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
75 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score
13 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
10 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.18May 30, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$3.21May 20, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$3.21May 20, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$3.21May 20, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$8.82May 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.00May 20, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.01May 20, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.08May 20, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$3.03May 20, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$3.00May 20, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$3.41May 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$3.03May 20, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?$5.06May 20, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$12.70May 19, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.08May 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.06May 19, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$9.62May 19, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.03May 19, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$5.07May 19, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$5.06May 19, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.