Squiggly-Sympathy
0xf0f26107b13f67c5db1737e193e5ef6532af59b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$18.02
Total PnL
$2.52
Realised
$1.25
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$5.00
$1.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on August 16?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$3.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on August 16?$3.00Aug 15, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.02Jun 28, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10?$4.00Jun 10, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14May 22, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?$6.00May 9, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?$5.00Apr 4, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 28?$8.01Apr 4, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 28?$8.00Mar 26, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 10?$10.01Mar 26, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 11?$14.01Mar 26, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 6?$22.02Mar 26, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 11?$14.00Mar 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 10?$10.00Mar 8, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 6?$22.00Mar 5, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?$15.02Mar 5, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 28?$16.02Mar 5, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 22?$18.02Mar 5, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 26?$21.02Mar 5, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?$15.00Mar 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 28?$16.00Feb 26, 23:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $21.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.