Wallet digest

active

Activity score

73/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$5.00

Total PnL

$0.05

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026
$5.00
$0.05

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of June 22 2026?$199.79Jun 25, 16:29 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of June 22 2026?$198.08Jun 25, 16:27 UTC
TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $276 Week of June 22 2026?$199.79Jun 25, 16:20 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $276 Week of June 22 2026?$196.35Jun 25, 16:19 UTC
TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?$89.80Jun 25, 13:58 UTC
TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?$100.00Jun 25, 13:58 UTC
TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of June 22 2026?$31.63Jun 25, 13:46 UTC
TRADESELLWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $147.50 Week of June 22 2026?$199.80Jun 25, 13:44 UTC
TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?$9.99Jun 25, 13:44 UTC
TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of June 22 2026?$31.36Jun 25, 13:43 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?$59.16Jun 25, 13:41 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June?$138.89Jun 25, 13:41 UTC
TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $284 Week of June 22 2026?$199.79Jun 25, 13:41 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $147.50 Week of June 22 2026?$198.08Jun 25, 13:40 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $284 Week of June 22 2026?$196.16Jun 25, 13:36 UTC
TRADESELLWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of June 22 2026?$164.83Jun 25, 13:35 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of June 22 2026?$138.60Jun 25, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of June 22 2026?$24.76Jun 25, 13:32 UTC
TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June?$113.28Jun 25, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June?$111.64Jun 25, 13:30 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk81 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $105.34
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 22, 13:41 UTC
Last active: Jun 25, 16:29 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 05:24:32 UTC·src:Polymarket Data