Sizzling-Tour
0xf0f6bdee5f599c570f58f592b9f4e753d80053f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-605.09
Realised
$-18.12
Win rate
19%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
4525 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-67.98
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
778 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?
174 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Will Starmer say "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
53 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.03Jul 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPozoblanco: Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewart$3.57Jul 13, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.56Jul 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.03Jul 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.02Jul 13, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.30Jul 13, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.02Jul 13, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.01Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.36Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.03Jul 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.32Jul 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.03Jul 13, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.54Jul 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.03Jul 13, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.72Jul 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.03Jul 13, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.