Hollow-Scarification
0xf0f7fbc05638be34b6d8dac9510def052bf9eac7
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.75
Total PnL
$-734.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
500 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.75
$-7.25
- YES
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
748 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?
500 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-208.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?
200 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
191 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
190 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.68
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?
160 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Amazon reach $248 in February?
150 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.90
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
138 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
100 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$90.94Jun 1, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$93.28May 31, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.46Apr 29, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$19.80Feb 25, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$18.60Feb 25, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?$66.00Feb 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 15?$21.00Feb 15, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 15?$35.00Feb 15, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 15?$23.10Feb 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 15?$9.90Feb 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$176.00Feb 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 15?$5.00Feb 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 15?$100.00Feb 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 15?$5.00Feb 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 15?$9.80Feb 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 15?$4.80Feb 15, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 15?$4.50Feb 15, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$136.00Feb 15, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.13Feb 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?$48.82Feb 14, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $21.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".