Pessimistic-Roof
0xf0fc35488827de51bc270251783b65efbbe3c00f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$18.18
Total PnL
$-669.07
Realised
$14.95
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1254 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.18
$-69.26
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
16960 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-84.80
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
3140 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-78.35
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 3?
328 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
278 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-26.97
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
159 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
115 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 5AM ET
112 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
107 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$87.44Apr 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$87.44Apr 21, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$74.95Apr 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$25.00Apr 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$9.72Mar 29, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$9.72Mar 29, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$9.72Mar 27, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$9.72Mar 27, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$8.14Mar 27, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$8.14Mar 27, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$43.63Mar 21, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$43.63Mar 21, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$29.01Mar 20, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$5.00Mar 20, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$10.00Mar 20, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$39.63Mar 18, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$39.62Mar 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$30.18Mar 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$30.19Mar 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$14.99Mar 18, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $45.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".