Incredible-Ideology
0xf104d8df84039284822a66a6e89ed3e5cedfb841
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
35027 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
18409 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
13914 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
8379 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-649.98
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
5673 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?
1971 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-118.26
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?
1268 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?
876 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-116.51
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?
393 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?
232 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-27.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?$2.00Mar 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?$11.59Dec 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10.00Dec 6, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?$27.86Nov 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2025-11-18?$20.00Nov 18, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?$150.00Nov 18, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?$20.00Nov 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wales win on 2025-11-18?$217.86Nov 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?$28.26Nov 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?$20.00Nov 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?$50.00Nov 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?$30.00Nov 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?$10.00Nov 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wales win on 2025-11-18?$200.00Nov 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?$10.00Nov 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?$100.00Nov 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2025-11-17?$448.26Nov 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?$16.51Nov 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2025-11-17?$350.00Nov 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$366.52Nov 17, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $571.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 23, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".