Raw-Chandelier
0xf1054ad2d6f4616599dd413cba9565ad96e1f79f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$1.18
Total PnL
$-212.98
Realised
$22.58
Win rate
67%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.18
$-0.82
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1313 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
1007 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
211 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 15?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 5?
160 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$1.10Jun 2, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$3.05Jun 1, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$3.07Jun 1, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$1.05May 28, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?$1.27May 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$1.27May 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$0.18May 28, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$1.06May 28, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$0.19May 28, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$1.00May 27, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$1.07May 27, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?$1.06May 27, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 27?$1.07May 27, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1.03May 27, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.09May 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?$1.07May 26, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?$0.40May 26, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?$0.00May 26, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?$1.07May 26, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?$0.10May 26, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".