Polished-Elbow
0xf10e96b00440e3191ddbec6cfad84fc3f154631e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-516.93
Realised
$40.84
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
2032 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?
522 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Drita win on 2025-12-11?
173 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Marcos Rashford be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
150 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20?
108 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?
105 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 6?
101 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 6?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$10.53May 9, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.26May 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2.91May 9, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$17.27May 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.46May 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$18.87May 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.48May 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.31May 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$23.56May 8, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.50May 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.23May 8, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.07May 8, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$45.37May 8, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.57May 8, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$10.48May 8, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$4.29May 8, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.24May 8, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$19.00May 8, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$10.50May 8, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.27May 8, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 16:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".