Trusting-Reputation
0xf1139526a07d9f357e6314b13a9ca013b223363a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$138.61
Total PnL
$-178.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?
84 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$83.92
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 31?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.69
$0.01
- STEFANOS SAKELLARIDIS
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
15 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.65
$6.30
- NO
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.24
$-0.01
- NO
Will Meituan have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.11
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 4?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
660 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?$83.69May 31, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYChisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis$8.46May 31, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$92.13May 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$91.96May 30, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 31?$14.68May 30, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$106.65May 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$106.55May 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.10May 29, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$118.64May 29, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$117.98May 28, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$13.25May 28, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?$130.83May 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?$131.03May 28, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$131.43May 28, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$131.31May 27, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$130.86May 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$131.00May 27, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$131.44May 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$131.20May 26, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$6.40May 26, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $96.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 04:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.