Livid-Coconut
0xf1153c6d8b2fa23c4da2c72a7c2cd2cb464f6c5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-212.48
Realised
$2.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 52°F or higher on January 23?
174 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-31.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 17?
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C or higher on January 24?
80 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 28?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 16?
65 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
51 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on January 30?
42 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on January 22?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 23?
39 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.