Oblong-Circumference
0xf11dcb61cde14266142583ceb753f2bb94b5836f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 28?
280 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 26?
279 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on November 23?
266 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 5?
257 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 2?
257 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.08
- UP
XRP Up or Down on December 5?
256 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.60 on November 25?
248 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 25?
246 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?
185 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.35 on April 17?
173 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?$1.58Jul 15, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$119.45Jul 3, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$0.16Jul 3, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$117.62Jul 3, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$111.34Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$109.00May 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$3.54May 25, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 19?$128.31May 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 19?$126.51May 18, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$115.50May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$113.42May 10, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down on April 15?$35.05May 10, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 13-19?$82.44Apr 30, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 22?$3.38Apr 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 13-19?$0.09Apr 19, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 13-19?$80.95Apr 19, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.35 on April 17?$2.80Apr 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?$106.84Apr 18, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?$1.74Apr 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 15?$0.05Apr 15, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $43.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 17:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.