Short-Term-Injury
0xf11f5746d1c88ea231bae3ecf6b814ec53bfdcb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20m views on day 1?
668 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.78
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20-25m views on day 1?
386 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
156 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30m views on day 1?
133 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?
84 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.75
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
45 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.09Jul 19, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$1.31Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.51Jul 19, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$0.30Jul 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$16.29Jul 19, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.38Jul 19, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?$6.75May 24, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25-30m views on day 1?$5.00May 24, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 20-25m views on day 1?$2.50May 24, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20m views on day 1?$3.78May 24, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins$18.03May 24, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins$26.05May 23, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLRoyal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad$4.84May 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad$20.00May 23, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$16.17May 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150k in May?$1.76May 22, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPacers vs. Knicks$12.63May 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Knicks$15.00May 21, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMMariners vs. White Sox$25.64May 21, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$3.16May 21, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.