Front-Security
0xf1254ce5f133576e136a984d2103e6d8c90949d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-144.16
Realised
$-21.10
Win rate
3%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
752 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?
598 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?
459 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 1?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$0.94Aug 21, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.11Aug 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$0.95Aug 20, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.38Aug 20, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.04Aug 20, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$2.50Aug 20, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$2.10Aug 20, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$0.04Aug 20, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.75Aug 20, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.05Aug 20, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$0.12Aug 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.05Aug 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.04Aug 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.05Aug 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.05Aug 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$1.05Aug 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$5.12Aug 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$5.03Aug 7, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$4.90Aug 7, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$5.03Aug 7, 11:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
37 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.