Basic-Lion
0xf12966ee35c13b627cecd7fdd180a3809028c93b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$5.10
Total PnL
$-16.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.00Jan 15, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia redistricting referendum passes?$1.02Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?$1.02Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.03Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMLee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.03Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$1.04Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.06Jan 7, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $104.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".