Quirky-Messy
0xf12e7aa3365defd49718c0efd408aa4fefa8ef80
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$13.37
Total PnL
$-0.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.37
$-0.13
- YES
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?$2.50Feb 4, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?$1.25Dec 16, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?$4.00Dec 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?$5.50Dec 11, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?$8.50Dec 11, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?$10.00Dec 11, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?$9.97Dec 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 10, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.