Strange-Maintenance
0xf13242c0f5ed15fe9aec0c5eab40a2a8dbafc706
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$38.41
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 4?
12600 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-81.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 12?
5285 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 15?
4472 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 24?
4050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 22?
3996 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-45.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 17?
3977 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on April 15?
3868 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 4?
3493 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?
3367 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 13?
3271 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 28?$0.07Jul 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 28?$0.30Jul 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 28?$0.03Jul 28, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?$0.60Jul 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$0.21Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 28?$0.07Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 28?$0.35Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 28?$0.21Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 28?$0.10Jul 28, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 28?$0.20Jul 28, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 28?$0.20Jul 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 28?$0.05Jul 28, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 28?$0.04Jul 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?$12.99Jul 28, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 27?$0.07Jul 27, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 27?$0.13Jul 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 27?$1.13Jul 27, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?$0.74Jul 27, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?$0.16Jul 27, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?$0.14Jul 27, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.