Tiny-Prince
0xf13352e3ea2ad46798e23c0f96630340cc4ca6a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.95
Total PnL
$-237.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.95
$-12.05
- YES
US recession in 2025?
376 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
186 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
71 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$18.11Jul 28, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$74.63Jul 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.00May 19, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$5.00May 4, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$20.00May 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$20.00May 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$50.66May 4, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$47.23May 4, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$51.32May 4, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration before July?$50.00Apr 29, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$80.65Apr 29, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEM500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$0.00Apr 29, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$100.00Apr 4, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 23, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$52.00Mar 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$50.00Mar 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?$20.00Mar 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$50.00Mar 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$100.00Mar 10, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$100.00Mar 10, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $46.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.