0xf13d9f6f63c4695dbb31c74ae0b03b8b7eb7fdf4
0xf13d9f6f63c4695dbb31c74ae0b03b8b7eb7fdf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-916.38
Realised
$944.94
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
3884 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-899.99
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
1132 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- FRANCE
France vs. England: Team to Win
928 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
811 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2PM ET
739 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-51.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
316 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
159 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$66.78Jul 21, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.00Jul 21, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.00Jul 21, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.99Jul 21, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.95Jul 21, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.93Jul 21, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$45.76Jul 21, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.63Jul 21, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.91Jul 21, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.91Jul 21, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$10.97Jul 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$10.97Jul 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$10.95Jul 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$14.01Jul 21, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$10.81Jul 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.00Jul 21, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$43.64Jul 21, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.90Jul 21, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.89Jul 21, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.90Jul 21, 17:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.