Cautious-Fine
0xf146be3498a9fa923d5a4abe1786781944a291e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-101.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 25?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 27?
409 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?
407 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-95.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$60.06Jun 1, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?$54.95May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?$54.90May 29, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$60.00May 29, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$52.85May 25, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$62.06May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$52.80May 25, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$62.00May 25, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$54.75May 19, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$60.06May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$54.70May 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$60.00May 17, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$54.65May 15, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$60.06May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$54.60May 14, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$60.00May 14, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$114.61May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$54.50May 11, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$60.00May 11, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$114.51May 8, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $61.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".