Frightened-Treaty
0xf147b2786d0f54f3fae5cba47d0ea611adacdf5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$28.90
Total PnL
$-15.14
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?
16 shares @ 66.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$11.71
$1.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 21?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$7.63
$0.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 21?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.49
$-0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.07
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 21?$6.90May 20, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?$6.34May 20, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21?$3.10May 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21?$7.00May 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?$4.15May 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 21?$6.59May 19, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 17?$5.36May 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?$3.16May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?$2.75May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?$5.00May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?$1.91May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?$4.08May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?$0.01May 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?$6.02May 17, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?$0.59May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?$4.88May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 17?$3.54May 17, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?$5.65May 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 17?$0.57May 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 17?$3.00May 17, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".