0xf149a494e3309e76a0543cbb019cb41357c5df77
0xf149a494e3309e76a0543cbb019cb41357c5df77
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
171
Open notional
$4.73
Total PnL
$-238.78
Realised
$-63.18
Win rate
0%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 171- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1 shares @ 89.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- MARAT SHARIPOV
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipov
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- GILLES ARNAUD BAILLY
Shymkent: Max Wiskandt vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- CLUB ATLÉTICO DE MADRID
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
194 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- OVER
FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
121 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- OVER
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.00Jun 6, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$0.27Jun 6, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$0.33Jun 6, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$1.00Jun 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$0.23Jun 3, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: May$1.00Jun 3, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$1.00Jun 2, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.80Jun 1, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.00Jun 1, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$0.15Jun 1, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.56Jun 1, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$2.00Jun 1, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$1.00May 29, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$0.90May 29, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.00May 28, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.15May 28, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.