Active-Runway
0xf14aa295e6fac50810e33c20f1b5d57f3dfc86d2
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$8.92
Total PnL
$-31.28
Realised
$3.63
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 13?
208 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.98
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 13?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.30
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on May 13?
168 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.01
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?
34 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.72
$0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.49
$0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?
40 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.46
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C on May 13?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.40
$-0.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.0029m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.0432m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.0132m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.0532m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.1036m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.1052m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 12?$0.841h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$1.001h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 12?$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$1.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 13?$0.362h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 12?$0.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 13?$0.322h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?$0.652h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?$0.502h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 12?$0.052h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 12?$0.502h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 13?$0.323h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 12?$0.753h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 12?$0.803h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6h ago
- Last active
- 29m ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
