Organic-Blowhole
0xf14cdfb0dd2899eb5191624d7e87e25260254e18
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-389.41
Realised
$-7.88
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 4?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
3446 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
2419 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
1998 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.78
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
1913 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out in 2025?
1814 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-27.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1570 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
1388 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.75
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out in 2025?
992 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on August 4?
956 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.57Nov 12, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out in 2025?$6.00Nov 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out in 2025?$3.00Nov 12, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei be the next leader out in 2025?$3.00Nov 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei be the next leader out in 2025?$24.20Oct 22, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$8.50Oct 22, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bagram" this week? (September 22-28)$15.62Oct 22, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bagram" this week? (September 22-28)$10.00Sep 21, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$3.00Sep 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.65Sep 17, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?$3.57Sep 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.08Sep 17, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say Trans/Transgender 3+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?$15.23Sep 15, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$15.24Sep 15, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$2.03Sep 10, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?$2.02Sep 7, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?$5.00Sep 4, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?$10.00Sep 4, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".