Zealous-Competition
0xf152b78764c093f2953d2ef2c4102ea563f336b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.55
Total PnL
$-448.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
27 shares @ 26.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.34
$-6.66
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
5282 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
1993 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
1188 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
1040 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$10.46Jul 14, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$20.94Jul 14, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$32.06Jul 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.34Jul 3, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$10.69Jul 3, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.13Jul 3, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$20.83Jul 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.34Jul 3, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$31.25Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$10.36Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$20.50Jul 3, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$8.33Jul 3, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5.14Jul 3, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$7.00Jul 3, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$21.25Jun 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.53Jun 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$10.22Jun 26, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$3.21May 4, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.