Neglected-Sparerib
0xf1554a6292c37db1cd007102b0f55bd7e7ac76bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$124.0K
Total PnL
$-10.4K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
128985 shares @ 94.7¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$119.8K
$-2.4K
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2226 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$-38.95
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
1051 shares @ 78.1¢·now 88.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$933.94
$112.95
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
532 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$515.55
$52.43
- YES
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?
287 shares @ 83.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$259.90
$20.31
- NO
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
248 shares @ 83.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$246.26
$38.76
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
190 shares @ 67.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$148.22
$20.90
- YES
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
143 shares @ 73.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$122.30
$17.88
- NO
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
186 shares @ 69.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$90.05
$-38.06
- YES
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.99
$-6.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$14.60Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$110.08Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$89.82Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.0KJun 13, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.9KJun 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.1KJun 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.6KJun 13, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$278.80Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.43Jun 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$24.9KJun 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.4KJun 12, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$24.6KJun 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$82.97Jun 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$662.93Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$142.44Jun 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$968.00Jun 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$87.12Jun 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$23.26Jun 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.7KJun 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$17.8KJun 11, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$35.4K
Trades
3
Buy share
100%
Window
May 24, 19:50 UTC → Jun 1, 07:11 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.5K@88¢Jun 1, 07:11 UTC
- BUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$17.7K@90¢May 25, 05:44 UTC
- BUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.2K@91¢May 24, 19:41 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$35.4K
3 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
$26.9K · 76% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.