Difficult-Advantage
0xf1562be1288f640cb35b454dff28c4b362841a32
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.23
Total PnL
$-6.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- NO
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
1 shares @ 80.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
1 shares @ 83.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
3 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 13?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$1.00Oct 27, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31$1.00Oct 27, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?$1.00Oct 27, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 27, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?$1.00Oct 27, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced by October 31?$1.00Oct 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Oct 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.00Oct 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.00Oct 27, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$0.00Oct 23, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMPace Jr. vs. Dias$0.98Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$1.04Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$1.06Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.06Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$1.08Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by October 17?$1.09Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$1.22Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?$1.25Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?$1.25Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 27, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.