Hard-Elongation
0xf1610bc91f7a6ae4bc592e2547cc1f432aec5238
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$34.58
Total PnL
$-2.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5200 in October?$34.34Oct 26, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$3.00Oct 26, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?$37.34Oct 26, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?$36.22Feb 26, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?$13.89Feb 26, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$2.61Feb 26, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMDoug Burgum confirmed as Secretary of the Interior?$3.10Feb 5, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMKristi Noem confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security?$4.30Feb 5, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMChris Wright confirmed as Secretary of Energy?$5.27Feb 5, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMScott Bessent confirmed as Treasury Secretary?$7.05Feb 5, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?$13.58Jan 21, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.43Jan 21, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$5.32Jan 21, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Warriors$0.00Jan 12, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Knicks$0.00Jan 12, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Hornets$0.00Jan 12, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Wizards$0.00Jan 12, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Jazz$0.00Jan 12, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Raptors$0.00Jan 12, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Warriors$0.00Jan 12, 11:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 01:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.