0xf1628c187a0a0d5d042c316946735ec731b8b6b5
0xf1628c187a0a0d5d042c316946735ec731b8b6b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2151 shares @ 93.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-161.29
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
1032 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.0K
$31.99
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?
698 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$697.84
$47.84
- NO
Anthropic acquired in 2025?
539 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$539.02
$39.02
- NO
Will the next UK election be called by December 31?
337 shares @ 89.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$336.78
$36.78
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$250.00
$150.00
- YES
OpenAI social app in 2025?
235 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$235.29
$155.29
- NO
OpenAI acquired in 2025?
187 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$187.29
$17.29
- NO
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$119.05
$19.05
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$112.36
$12.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$254.19Jan 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$266.00Jan 14, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.0KJan 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$200.00Jan 11, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$280.00Jan 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$80.00Jan 11, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$115.74Aug 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$100.00Jul 19, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek banned in US before July?$0.00Jul 19, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next UK election be called by June 30?$0.00Jul 19, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMSam Altman arrested before July?$0.00Jul 19, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek banned in US before July?$64.10Jul 19, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next UK election be called by June 30?$215.05Jul 19, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMSam Altman arrested before July?$531.24Jul 19, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jul 1, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$170.94Jul 1, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?$222.22Jul 1, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out before July?$231.55Jul 1, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine join NATO before July?$691.49Jul 1, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$14.06Jun 24, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $152.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 22:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".