Scholarly-Episode
0xf16bf7068333e5aecf55dad9e60eb766f927998d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.69
Realised
$0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Vaccine" during earnings call?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will United Airlines say "Starlink" during earnings call?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jan 21, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Airlines say "Starlink" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 21, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johnson & Johnson say "Vaccine" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 21, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Jan 21, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Jan 21, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$5.00Jan 20, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$11.92Jan 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$1.00Jan 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 10, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Jan 10, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.00Jan 10, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 8, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.00Jan 8, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval Up or Down this week?$2.44Jan 8, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Jan 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?$12.89Jan 7, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.46Jan 7, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Jan 7, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.40Jan 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.00Jan 7, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".